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November 12, 2013

BroncoBlitz picks the MAC: Week Twelve

SU = Straight up
ATS = Against the spread

David James: 72-14 SU, 39-45-2 ATS
D.J. Duckett: 73-13 SU, 41-41-4 ATS
Brian Persky: 73-13 SU, 43-40-2 ATS

Straight-up picking could hardly be any tighter now as differences in opinion on last week's Ohio/Buffalo game have brought things to the narrowest of margins. There are some very intriguing matchups this week as the midweek games will play a huge role in division races in both the West and the East.

Ohio at Bowling Green (-9.5), Tuesday 7:30pm

David: Both teams in this matchup have arguably been disappointing as a whole, but BGSU has a shot at the division still and I think that makes the difference. BGSU by 12

DJ: Bowling Green looks to be the better team in this one. Ohio hasn't been able to find a rhythm all season, do not see that changing here. BGSU by 7

Brian: Ohio was exposed last week against Buffalo. Bowling Green needs this game at home to keep their MAC East title hopes alive before their season finale in Buffalo. I like the Falcons chances. BGSU by 7

Buffalo at Toledo (-3.5), Tuesday 7:30pm

David: I'm officially done doubting Buffalo. That doesn't mean Toledo can't win; in fact, I look at this as almost a coin-toss type of game. UB made a statement last week, though, and I think they follow it up with a bigger win in the cold tomorrow night. Buffalo by 6

DJ: Buffalo is the real deal. They have a defense that has the ability to shut down an offense like Toledo's and i think they get it done on the road. Buffalo by 7

Brian: Buffalo's defense has been impressive throughout the course of the season, but so has Toledo's offense. Defensive-minded teams typically win these kinds of matchups, but that's never usually the case in the MAC. Toledo always seems to play well in mid-week games, and I still feel like the West is the stronger division overall. Toledo by 7

Ball State at Northern Illinois (-6), Wednesday 8:00pm

David: Game of the week, for sure. Ball State is starting to get national votes and respect, and a road win in DeKalb would be a major coming-out party. It's been a while since NIU has been challenged, but with a cold and possibly windy Huskie Stadium, I don't see any MAC team measuring up. NIU by 10

DJ: This is a huge matchup for any MAC fan. Both these offenses are extremely high powered, there could be some huge scores in this one. In the end, I see Jordan Lynch getting things done at home. NIU by 7

Brian: I think the difference in this match-up may come down to game planning and coaching. Pete Lembo had Dave Doeren and the Huskies on the ropes last season in Muncie before NIU scored three late unanswered TD's. I think Lembo has the formula, and this year's Ball St. offense is more potent. I like the Cardinals to outscore the Huskies in a classic #MACtion barnburner. Ball St. by 3

Miami at Kent State (-17.5), Wednesday 8:00pm

David: And here's Miami's last chance to pick up a win. I hardly see this being a 17 point game (I wonder if KSU is still getting respect from last year?), but unfortunately, the RedHawks would probably need the home field to have a real shot. Kent St. by 7

DJ: Kent has found its stride as of late and seems to be the better squad here. I see them getting the win at home, but not covering the spread. KSU by 10

Brian: The spread on this game is surprising, especially due to the fact that Kent State only averages 18.1 points per game on the season. Having not much left to play for at all, I can easily see the Golden Flashes disappointing and Miami picking up their first (and only) win of the season. Kent St. by 3

Akron (-7.5) at UMass, Saturday 1:00pm

David: There's not really anything on the line in this one, although Akron has a chance to really show measurable progress if they get to four wins in Bowden's second year. UMass is starting to get the look of a team playing out the string. Akron by 16

DJ: UMass has been one of the worst teams in all of football this year. Akron has surprised some people with its toughness this year. Those two factors equal an easy Akron win. Akron by 14

Brian: Akron seems to be picking up some steam these last few weeks. I think the Zips are riding relatively high after winning two of their last three games, and win a close one in Foxboro. Akron by 3

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