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October 5, 2012

BroncoBlitz picks the MAC: Week Six

Another week, another new leader against the spread. This time D.J. takes the lead with an impressive 5-1 Week Five, with David and Brian tied at 20-20-1 after subpar weeks.

SU = Straight up
ATS = Against the spread

David James: 44-8 SU (5-2 last week), 20-20-1 ATS (2-4)
D.J. Duckett: 38-14 SU (6-1), 23-18 ATS (5-1)
Brian Persky: 41-11 SU (4-3), 20-20-1 ATS (1-5)

Buffalo at Ohio (-14)

David: Ohio may have gotten a scare from UMass last week, but I think if anything that wakes them up, and they're back home this week. Buffalo might not be any better than the Minutemen these days, anyway. Ohio by 20

D.J.: I think after Ohio's scare last week, they'll bounce back and get back on the right track. Though Buffalo has looked better than expected for me, I still think the Bobcats win this one. Ohio by 6

Brian: With Brandon Oliver probably making his return, and Tyler Tettleton still a little banged up, those two factors make this game somewhat interesting. I think Ohio is glad to be home and they win pretty easily after last week's scare against UMass. Ohio by 17

Kent State (-3) at Eastern Michigan

David: I'm not buying on improvement from Eastern Michigan, and their home field advantage doesn't mean a whole lot. Kent State is on the rise right now. Kent by 17

D.J.: This should be a close match, but I like Kent in this matchup. Kent's ability to run the ball, keeping possession for long periods of time, will go a long way towards controlling this game. Kent by 7

Brian: I can't believe the line is this narrow honestly. I know Eastern Michigan is coming off of a bye week but I don't think that matters too much. I don't think Eastern is capable of putting up enough points to keep up with the Golden Flashes, so I expect Kent State to have their way with the Eagles. Kent by 14

Bowling Green (-4) at Akron

David: The Zips continue to play a lot better than last year. They're not good, but they're better. I do like BGSU a little more than Miami, though, and I think they win it in a tight one. BGSU by 7

D.J.: This matchup was the most intriguing this week. I like a really close game here, but I think the Falcons go on the road and get the win. BGSU by 3

Brian: Another really hard pick for me. I like the way both of these teams have played recently. I really like the way Dalton Williams, in particular, tore apart the Miami defense (32-42, 446 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT) last week so I'm leaning towards taking Akron at home. Akron by 7

Northern Illinois (-2.5) at Ball State

David: Hardest pick of the week for me. Ball State can't afford to drop another MAC game, but I'm really liking NIU at the moment to win the West. NIU by 3

D.J.: Ball State will give Jordan Lynch and NIU everything they can handle this week. Though I think Ball State will play well, I just couldn't bring myself to pick the upset in this one. NIU by 7

Brian: This has all the makings to be a classic MAC barn-burner. I'm really going back and forth with myself on this one, but ultimately I'm going to take Northern Illinois on the road because they are the better all-around team. NIU by 10

Central Michigan at Toledo (-11.5)

David: I hate picking CMU games against the spread, because I just don't know which team is going to show up. I know I like Toledo to win, but no margin would surprise me. I'll go with a bigger margin at the Glass Bowl. Toledo by 18

D.J.: Coming off of a big win last week, the Rockets will be flying high. Though Central has seemed to get itself together as of late, but I don't see going on the road and getting a huge conference win as being possible for them right now. Toledo by 14

Brian: Another spread that doesn't seem large enough in my opinion. However, this does have some potential "let-down" written on the wall. Toledo seems like a focused bunch this year, so I don't see that stopping them from blowing out the Chips at home. Toledo by 24

Miami at Cincinnati (-20)

David: Obviously Cincy is a big favorite, but I think Miami keeps it close for a while. They've got an ability to score, no doubt, and they may be catching the Bearcats on a letdown in a rivalry that, let's face it, is more important to the RedHawks. Bearcats pull away late. Cincinnati by 23

D.J.: The Redhawks are the only team with a game out of conference this week, and I think that they take a shoot out to Cincy. I expect this to be a high scoring matchup, and see the Bearcats hanging on late. Cincinnati by 8

Brian: Although I do still believe that the Big East is a relatively weak product this year, Cincinnati has been one of the few exceptions along with Rutgers and Louisville. After a Pitt blowout and a big win against Virginia Tech, I like the Bearcats to continue their impressive start against the Redhawks. Cincinnati by 17

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